India, April 17 -- The first institutional assessment of the economic disruption of President Trump's tariffs is now out. World Trade Organization's (WTO) Global Trade Outlook for 2025 expects a 0.2% contraction in world trade. The contraction could become as high as 1.5% if Trump were to bring back his reciprocal tariffs and trade policy uncertainty were to worsen, the WTO believes. In a world without Trump's trade wars, global trade would have grown by 2.5% in 2025. The trade wars are also likely to take away 0.6 percentage points from global GDP growth which is now likely to be 2.2%, the WTO believes. To be sure, it is the tone rather than projections of the report that should cause more alarm. The current shock to the system, the WTO ...
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