India, Dec. 28 -- The near-collapse of India-Bangladesh relations in December 2025 did not stem from a single incident. Officials and analysts say these developments did not represent a sudden breakdown, but rather exposed long-standing weaknesses in India's ability to anticipate political transitions in its neighbourhood. What unfolded in Bangladesh has drawn comparisons with earlier Indian setbacks in Sri Lanka and the Maldives. In each case, New Delhi underestimated domestic political churn, failed to get timely information, act on it, invested heavily in incumbent regimes, and failed to build institutional resilience against regime change. Seen in this context, the Bangladesh episode is increasingly being viewed within the strategic c...