India, June 22 -- The US bombing of key Iranian nuclear facilities Sunday will have significant geopolitical implications for regional stability, global geopolitics, and India's immediate and medium-term interests. However, for now, it doesn't appear that the US-Israeli attack on Iran is likely to go all the way, making it improbable that Iran will be completely denuclearised or that the Islamic regime in Tehran will fall. A severely weakened Iranian regime is likely to respond with military and grey-zone tactics, increasing political and economic instability in the region. Moreover, neither Israel nor the US appear to have an endgame in mind in this war.

There are at least six key implications of this ongoing war.

First, West Asia is l...