India, Feb. 9 -- Ahead of the Delhi elections, HT listed four factors that would likely decide whether the Aam Admi Party (AAP) came to power for the third consecutive time in Delhi or if the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) would succeed in dislodging it.

Here is how those four factors have played out to give a result in favour of the BJP.

Delhi has made a clear distinction between Lok Sabha and assembly elections since 2015. Vote shares show that a section of voters switched from the BJP to the AAP between Lok Sabha elections and assembly elections. This helped the AAP sweep the 2015 and 2020 assembly polls, although the BJP swept the Lok Sabha elections held less than a year earlier.

Not many voters have made such a switch between the 2...