India, Jan. 31 -- Asteroid 2024 YR4, a near-Earth object which is more than 50 metres now, currently has a 1.2 percent chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, according to the European Space Agency (ESA) as of January 29, 2025. NASA's earlier analysis indicated a slightly higher probability of over 1 per cent, meaning there is roughly a 99 percent chance it will miss Earth.

An impact from the asteroid could result in an "airburst", a powerful explosion in the atmosphere, or create an impact crater if it strikes the Earth's surface, as reported by Space.com

The asteroid is about half the width of a football field and will pass very close to Earth on December 22, 2032, coming within approximately 66,000 miles (106,200 kilometres)....