Srilanka, May 14 -- The analysis of electoral trends demands thoughtful consideration of which comparative baselines yield the most meaningful insights. When examining the recently concluded Local Government (LG) election results, compelling evidence suggests that the 2024 presidential election results provide the most appropriate analytical foundation-significantly more so than either parliamentary elections or the previous 2018 LG elections, where SLPP demonstrated convincing dominance.

When someone wins the presidency, especially a newcomer, it creates a temporary wave of excitement that influences the next election. Voters jump on the bandwagon of the winning side, even if they wouldn't normally support that party. This snowball eff...