India, Nov. 30 -- A YouGov Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification (MRP) poll predicts a resounding 68-seat majority for Boris Johnson if the general election were to take place now, with Conservatives realising 359 seats, Labour 211, SNP 43, LibDems 13 and others 4, but none for the Brexit Party. MRP uses a vast number of interviews to model people's voting preferences based upon their demographics (age, gender, education, past vote and similar factors) plus the local political circumstances; it works by using big samples sizes to project figures onto smaller geographical areas/the 632 constituencies in mainland UK.

Other polls by Folcaldata and Datapraxis forecast similar results, with Tories gaining up to 366 seats. If correct, ...