Srinagar, July 22 -- "It's about misunderstanding how weather works here," he said.

In a straight-talking interview withKashmir Observer, the former IMD chief for J&K breaks it down: "Forecasting summer weather in Kashmir is a science of uncertainty."

High heat, wild humidity, and Kashmir's rugged mountains make predicting rainfall in July and August far tougher than in winter. "In winter, things are calm. In summer, the sky changes fast."

That's why forecast accuracy drops from 90% in winter to nearly 70% in summer. And yet, when rain doesn't show up as expected, many call it a failure.

"We forecast rain from July 21 to 24, not a flood. People think it means continuous rain. It doesn't. It means likely, scattered showers across diffe...