Srinagar, March 30 -- The scale of devastation witnessed in Myanmar is not unfolding yet because of the non-openness of the current administration. And our estimates suggest that the hazards have turned into disasters because the ground was not prepared for the incoming devastation, which is painful and reminds us that similar devastation can recur in Kashmir like in the 2005 Muzaffarabad earthquake where we lost over 80,000 lives.

The Sagaing Fault is a major right-lateral strike-slip fault that slices through Myanmar and extends into the Andaman Sea. With a displacement rate of 18 mm per year, it's a ticking time bomb. Historically, this fault has been responsible for at least six powerful earthquakes - all magnitude 7 or greater - bet...