Nigeria, April 15 -- I was visiting a senior over the weekend when our conversation devolved into the soul of the Nigerian banter: How is the country going, I asked?

He paused. After a moment of reflection, he took a deep breath and said, "There is tension."

I thought that was obvious and required no special gift to see. The tension sucks. There is tension between those in government and those who are not. Even among those in government, there is tension between the cabal and the fringe players. Tension between those who think policies ought not to be governed by fear and those who think government by fear modelling is the only way.

Tension between those in one section of the country, who feel hard done by and excluded, and those who thi...