Nigeria, Feb. 3 -- In the aftermath of the announcement on 28 January 2024 by Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger Republic denouncing the Revised Treaty of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and leaving the regional bloc "without delay", reactions spanned the spectrum from hubris to hyperbole. From Nigeria, the regional anchor and chair of the Community, the predominant sentiment was: "the three countries would have more to lose."

Outside the continent, some described the situation as "West Africa's 'Brexit' moment" or Sahelexit, likening it to Britain's decision in 2016 to quit the European Union. Reinforcing the comparison, the finalization this past week of the exit of the three countries from ECOWAS coincided with the f...