'Bid to ward off dissension in personality-centric polls'
PATNA, Oct. 9 -- The nomination filing for seats is set to commence from October 10 and by October 20, it would end for both the phases, but forget about seat distribution, even seat sharing formula is not yet out from any of the two main alliances.
Less than a month to go before polling begins and seat distribution has got so delayed in both the mainstream alliances that it is making many hopefuls jittery, as the delay could limit their options to hop to other parties, in the increasingly personality-centric election, which is all set to have little time and role for individual candidates.
Political experts feel the delay is aimed at checking and reducing the impact of and room for dissension, which could erupt once the seat sharing among the constituents of the two alliances - National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and the INDIA bloc - is over and seat distribution is through, while also limiting the choice for voters.
"The problem is similar in both the alliances - to satisfy the smaller constituents with whatever the bigger parties have to offer, but despite soaring ambitions of smaller parties, not much is likely to change, as neither LJP-R nor VIP of Mukesh Sahni would have much options left with them at the last hour. It is all friendly pressure tactics to play to the gallery to squeeze as much as possible without disturbing the equation," said former director of AN Sinha Institute of Social Studies DM Diwakar.
Diwakar said there was nothing between the JD(U) and the BJP, which would together fight 205-210 seats, while the brainstorming was for distributing remaining 33-36 seats among the three smaller parties and in case the bucket for smaller constituents increases, it will bring down the numbers for the big two.
"In the INDIA bloc also, RJD is certain to contest more than half the seats and the hitch is in distribution of the remaining seats among 6-7 constituents. Adding two more seats to one party will reduce the same number form the bigger parties, which they don't want," he added.
He said the two Dalit leaders - Jitan Ram Manjhi of HAM and Chirag Paswan of the LJP-R - had their own politics to cater to, and both would try to extract the maximum out of it linking their aspirations for a better bargain, even at the cost of squeezing JD(U) and the BJP, which seemed unlikely.
"LJP-R has always found greater favour with the BJP, though not with the JD(U), which has backed hitherto less aggressive HAM. The delay is understandable, as NDA wants to present a cohesive picture and announce seat sharing together to send the message across, while also limiting prospects of dissension. JD(U) is sitting pretty, passing on the seat-sharing responsibility to the BJP, while clearly indicating how much it would like to contest," he added.
JD(U) state president Umesh Kushwaha said there would be a joint press conference to announce seat sharing. "There are talks on some issues, but everything is positive and almost finalised. It will be declared soon," he added.
In the INDIA bloc, Mukesh Sahni's pressure tactics is also aimed at not only getting a good bargain for his party, but also check the soaring ambition of the Congress and other smaller constituents, who all want a bigger share and are making last ditch efforts.
"Left and RJD are key players of the Opposition alliance, while the Congress has legacy value and has made some efforts off late. But it looks set for a direct battle, in which face value of big leaders hopping on choppers from one place to another will count more than individual candidates, who may not even be able to reach out to the people in the short period. Imagine, just 15 days will be left for campaigning after nomination,"Diwakar added.
He, however, said the delay could be part of the strategy, which would help the NDA in offsetting the anti-incumbency factor and allow the election to be personality centric, revolving around big faces, rather than candidates....
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