Mumbai, Feb. 18 -- The world order appears headed for a "long twilight zone" and the transition will be unpredictable and even dangerous, with economics increasingly subordinated to political and security considerations, external affairs minister S Jaishankar said on Tuesday against the backdrop of multiple factors creating churn in geopolitics and economic activity. These shifts are already visible in the growing use of bilateral tariffs, export controls and financial restrictions, which are creating fresh uncertainties in global trade, Jaishankar said while addressing the Global Economic Cooperation Summit in Mumbai. "The established global order is clearly changing before our very eyes, replacements are hard to create and we appear to be headed for a long twilight zone. This will be messy, risky, unpredictable, perhaps even dangerous," he said. Aspects of the existing world order will co-exist with the emerging one, and economics will give way to politics and security in decision-making, he said. Jaishankar emphasised a series of challenges confronting the world, including the transformations brought on by AI, and said businesses are facing not only supply chain vulnerabilities but also unstable market access and fluctuating overseas demand, which are affecting routine commercial decisions. In such an environment, he said, countries and enterprises must plan for sustained volatility by diversifying sourcing, production bases and export markets, and strengthening domestic resilience and trusted partnerships. Countries must prioritise de-risking supply chains, strengthening domestic capacities and forging trusted international partnerships to navigate a rapidly changing global order, he said. At the same time, long-standing assumptions about global stability are collapsing as strategic, political, economic and technological shifts occur simultaneously, making the present era unusually turbulent and unpredictable, he added. Listing six features of the global situation, he pointed to the United States' push for re-industrialisation, China's continued focus on manufacturing and exports, intensification of technological competition, major shifts in energy trade flows, greater geopolitical risk-taking, including military options, and rising tensions over migration and mobility. Against this backdrop, Jaishankar said India's nimble domestic policies and pragmatic governance have helped the country navigate global disruptions. Political continuity and stability, he said, enabled bold reforms at a time when many nations remained defensive. He said lessons from the Covid-19 pandemic and conflicts in Ukraine and West Asia exposed the fragility of global supply chains, highlighting excessive production concentration and connectivity limitations. The world is witnessing the "weaponisation" of production, finance, market access and export controls, alongside tariff uncertainties affecting day-to-day commerce. "Countries, therefore, are increasingly prioritising food, health and energy security and this also includes fertiliser security. Access to critical minerals will require stronger international collaboration," he said....