Moody's cuts India FY27 growth estimate to 6%
New Delhi, April 6 -- Moody's Ratings has slashed India's economic growth estimates for the current fiscal to 6% from 6.8% earlier, saying the ongoing conflict in West Asia will moderate growth momentum and raise inflation risks.
In its credit opinion report on India, Moody's said prolonged disruptions, particularly liquified petroleum gas (LPG) shipments due to the conflict, would lead to near-term household shortages, higher fuel and transport costs, and spillovers to food inflation through India's reliance on imported fertilisers.
The region accounts for around 55% of crude oil imports and over 90% of LPG supplies to India.
"While inflation remains contained for now, geopolitical risks have tilted the inflation outlook to the upside," Moody's said while projecting inflation to average 4.8% in FY27, up from 2.4% in FY26.
With inflation risks re-emerging and growth remaining robust, policy rates are likely to be held steady or raised gradually in fiscal 2026-27, depending on the duration of geopolitical tensions and their pass-through to food and fuel prices, Moody's said.
"In light of India's economic exposure to the ongoing military conflict in the Middle East, we expect real GDP growth to moderate to 6% in fiscal 2026-27 from 6.8% earlier, driven by subdued private consumption, softer industrial activity and a weakening in the momentum of gross fixed capital formation amid elevated prices and higher input costs," according to the Moody's report, dated March 31, accessed by PTI.
Last month, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) projected India's gross domestic product (GDP) growth to moderate to 6.1% in the current fiscal from 7.6% growth recorded in 2025-26....
इस लेख के रीप्रिंट को खरीदने या इस प्रकाशन का पूरा फ़ीड प्राप्त करने के लिए, कृपया
हमे संपर्क करें.