New Delhi, Jan. 1 -- India's fiscal deficit from April to November stood at Rs.9.76 trillion or 62.3% of the budget estimate for 2025-26, showed data from the Controller General of Accounts (CGA). Better-than-expected non-tax revenue collection of Rs.5.16 trillion, or 88.6% of the full-year budget estimate, was achieved in the first eight months of the fiscal year, cushioning the central government's finances. Tax revenue collection stood at Rs.13.9 trillion, or just 49% of the full-year estimate. While non-tax revenue is higher than the Rs.4.27 trillion, tax revenue is lower than the Rs.14.43 trillion collected in the year-ago period. In the first eight months of 2024-25, the fiscal deficit stood lower at Rs.8.5 trillion or 52.5% of the budget estimate. The Centre had estimated a fiscal deficit of Rs.15.69 trillion or 4.4% of the gross domestic product (GDP) for 2025-26, as announced by finance minister Nirmala Sitharaman in the Union budget. The government ended 2024-25 with a fiscal deficit of 4.8%, which was lower than the revised estimates of 4.9%. Revenue from customs duty, goods and services tax (GST) compensation cess, and securities transaction tax (STT) declined in the period from a year ago. The Centre's total receipts stood at Rs.19.49 trillion, including revenue receipts of Rs.19.10 trillion, while the government has spent Rs.29.25 trillion. Experts suggest that tax revenues have been impacted by the income-tax rebate announced in the February budget, effectively reducing the tax liability to zero for citizens earning up to Rs.12 lakh per year and the impact of the GST rationalization on indirect tax collections. Further, a 28% increase in capex also resulted in the widening of the deficit. "While net tax revenues contracted by 3.4% during this period, non-tax revenues expanded by 20.8% and revenue expenditure rose by a muted 1.8%, keeping the revenue deficit in check. We now anticipate a shortfall of Rs.1.5 trillion in the Government of India's gross tax revenues in the current fiscal relative to the FY26 budget estimate," said Aditi Nayar, chief economist, Icra Ltd. She, however, noted that the Centre's capex contracted for the second consecutive month in November 2025, thereby declining by 21% in October-November after having expanded by 31% in the September quarter. Capex recorded a healthy rise of 28% annually during the April-November period, amounting to 59% of the 2025-26 budget estimate as against 49% in the year-ago period. The central government's spending on all subsidies amounted to Rs.2.88 trillion in the period, reaching 75% of the annual target, compared to Rs.2.79 trillion spent during the same period of the previous fiscal. While the outgo on food subsidy declined to Rs.1.37 trillion during the period, compared to Rs.1.51 trillion a year ago, the outgo on nutrient-based fertilizers, urea, and petroleum subsidies rose to Rs.46,377 crore (up 24% year-on-year), Rs.96,027 crore (up 14.19%), and Rs.8,628 crore (up 41.85%), respectively. The Centre's fiscal position is supported by better-than-expected dividend payouts by public sector undertakings, state-run banks, and the Reserve Bank of India. The total dividend received by the Centre during the period was Rs.3.39 trillion, at 104% of the budget estimate of Rs.3.25 trillion....