Next budget may keep govt capex plan steady
New delhi, Nov. 12 -- The Centre is likely to maintain its infrastructure spending at the same level in 2026-27 as in the current fiscal year, as it anticipates a pickup in private capital expenditure, two people familiar with the matter told Mint.
The 2026-27 capex target likely at 3.1-3.2% of gross domestic product (GDP) will nudge the country toward a more measured phase of fiscal consolidation, signalling the government's intent to balance economic momentum with its fiscal deficit goal amid rising global uncertainties. The central government may not raise the current capex ceiling substantially, although there will be adequate fiscal headroom next year to continue funding large-scale infrastructure and industrial projects already in the pipeline, said the first person, on condition of anonymity. "The focus is also on execution efficiency and ensuring that the existing projects yield tangible returns to the economy," the person said.
"Efforts will also focus on streamlining approvals, reducing project delays, and strengthening coordination between the Centre and states to maximize the overall economic impact," the person added. Public investment has been the principal driver of growth for the past few years.
This has offset tepid private investment and uneven export demand. However, with improving corporate balance sheets and capacity utilization, the Centre is counting on private capex to gradually pick up.
"The idea is to sustain momentum without stretching public finances too thin," said the second person, on condition of anonymity.
"Over the next few years, the emphasis is expected to move from sheer scale to strategic depth, ensuring that capital spending creates productive assets, attracts private participation, and strengthens the economy's long-term capacity, rather than just boosting near-term growth numbers," the person added. Mint reported on 5 November that India's policymakers are shifting their focus from expanding the scale of public capex to enhancing its quality and impact, including the use of data analytics and AI-driven tools to track and assess progress. The report said the government is placing greater emphasis on project execution, transparency, and measurable economic outcomes to ensure that investments deliver tangible gains, such as durable infrastructure, stronger private-sector participation, and higher productivity, rather than merely reflecting larger budgetary outlays. The country's capex target for 2025-26 stands at Rs.11.21 trillion, which is about 3.1% of GDP, compared with the previous budget's Rs.11.11 trillion, or roughly 3.4% of GDP.
However, the effective capex for the current fiscal year is projected at Rs.15.48 trillion, compared to Rs.13.18 trillion a year ago, including core capital outlays in the Union budget as well as grants and aid allocated to the states for creating capital assets.
A finance ministry spokesperson didn't respond to emailed queries....
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