Pakistan, Feb. 24 -- Three years ago, on February 24, 2022, when Russia attacked Ukraine, most analysts believed that it may have made a similar mistake to what the erstwhile Soviet Union made in Afghanistan. Only a few countries supported the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and a handful remained neutral, while the majority opposed it at all forums.

Perhaps Russian President Vladimir Putin embraced my model of Decision-making and Scenario Building "Possibility-Probability" P2 Model, from my first international book, "Nuclear Deterrence and Conflict Management Between India and Pakistan" published in December 2020 by Peter Lang Publishing Inc., New York.

The P2 Model emphasises the careful evaluation of the intended operation. While everyt...