Mumbai, July 21 -- International Monetary Fund First Deputy Managing Director Gita Gopinath has stated that the fund's April World Economic Outlook or WEO forecast projected global growth of 2.8 percent in 2025 and 3.0 percent in 2026, well below the historical average of 3.7 percent. This included significant downgrades to major economies such as the U.S. and China, owing to greater policy uncertainty, trade tensions, and softer demand momentum. Global headline inflation was projected to decline, but at a slower pace, reaching 4.3 percent in 2025 and 3.6 percent in 2026.

Since April, economic indicators reflect a complex backdrop shaped by trade tensions. We have seen strong evidence of front-loading ahead of tariff increases and some tra...