New Delhi, Sept. 16 -- The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to lower policy rates by 25 basis points each in the upcoming Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meetings in October and December, taking the terminal policy rate to 5 per cent, according to a report by Morgan Stanley.

The global brokerage firm noted that the central bank now has room for monetary easing as inflation continues to undershoot the target.

The report projects headline consumer price index (CPI) inflation to average at 2.4 per cent year-on-year in FY26, significantly below RBI's inflation target of 4 per cent.

It stated "we expect headline CPI to average at 2.4 per cent YoY in F26, allowing the RBI to cut rates by 25bps each in Oct & Dec".

The report also adde...