New Delhi, Jan. 13 -- Consumer inflation for the fourth quarter of the current financial year FY26 is expected to remain at 2.6 per cent, which is below the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) projection of 2.9 per cent, as highlighted in a report by Union Bank of India.

The report also maintained its view that there is a possibility of a final 25 basis points rate cut in February or April 2026, which could take the repo rate to 5.0 per cent.

It stated "Our CPI projection for Q4FY26 is tracking at 2.6 per cent, lower than RBI's projection of 2.9 per cent...... We hold on to our view of the possibility of a final 25 bps rate cut in February or April 2026".

According to the report, Consumer Price Index (CPI) projection for Q4FY26 is tracking l...