India's make or break moment
India, April 9 -- India is at the crossroads in its battle against the coronavirus disease (Covid-19). There are two scenarios. It will see a relatively manageable rise in the number of cases, but low fatality rates, a health system prepared to deal with new patients, and, sooner rather than later, the flattening of the curve. This is broadly South Korea's trajectory. Or it will see a surge of cases; an unfortunate, dramatic rise in fatalities; overrun health facilities; and infected health workers - it will then remain at this peak for several weeks, before an eventual dip. This is broadly the trajectory of Italy and the United States....
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